OBama's Reelection bid

http://www.gallup.com/poll/151007/Obama-Approval-Remains-Thanksgiving-Week.aspx
Obama's Job Approval rating seems to have steadied at 43%. According to Gallup polls he will probably remain at this percentage in upcoming weeks. He is receiving little approval from the independents that he relied upon heavily last presidential election. Before analyzing Obama's upcoming reelection bid it is important to first analyze what was good about his previous election.
One of the major victories in that race for Obama was winning the electorate in Virginia, a state that has been a battleground recently but more often than not leans Republican.
Now, taking this knowledge alongside his low approval rating and lack of support from his independent supports from last term we can begin to predict the outcome of this election. Because republican's now have control in the Senate and the executive of Virginia, Obama's chances there seem to be next to none. Additionally, without this key state and his independent vote the election will come more so down to whether or not the republican candidate is disliked more by the independents than Obama is. Both Gingrich and Romney could potentially become good presidential candidates. However, Gingrich does have issues in his past that would provide a taint to him as a candidate. If he becomes the nominee he may be disliked more by independents than Obama. After the Iowa caucus Gingrich will probably gain the momentum to seal the nomination allowing Obama to have a chance with the independents. However, he will still have to find those independents in a new major electorate state because of Virginia's new republican tendency.